BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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E Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 342 Conference: Ohio Valley Record: (5-13) Overall: (9-22) Overall Strength =    9.76

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L     9.28  57  87    1  31 ( 20- 10) Illinois               -1.25 *  -28.75                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    L     7.53  49  54    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St            -3.00     -2.00                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L    -1.20  60  76    1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan      -11.73     -4.27                      
  4 11-16-2022 Away    L    14.91  43  65    1  48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St                 4.38 *  -26.38                      
  5 11-21-2022 Home    W    28.12 102  40   ZZ 283 (  0-  3) St Mary-Woods          17.59 *   44.41                      
  6 11-25-2022 Away    L    17.14  67  78    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                    6.61    -17.61                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral L    -0.32  58  67    1 347 (  8- 23) Alabama St            -10.85      1.85                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    L    -5.45  70  90    1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois     -15.98     -4.02                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    W    10.53  93  43   ZZ 302 (  0-  1) Blackburn              -0.00 *   50.00                      
 10 12-07-2022 Home    L     2.64  59  76    1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St                -7.89     -9.11                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    L     9.25  75  79    1 257 ( 16- 13) W Illinois             -1.28     -2.72                      
 12 12-17-2022 Away    W    19.44  70  59    1 360 (  5- 27) IUPUI                   8.91      2.09                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    W    48.21  92  83    1  32 ( 19- 11) Iowa                   37.68    -28.68                      
 14 12-29-2022 Home    W *   7.82  55  54    1 339 ( 11- 21) Lindenwood             -2.71      3.71                      
 15 12-31-2022 Home    W *  23.27  91  80    1 275 ( 16- 16) Southern Indiana       12.74     -1.74                      
 16 01-05-2023 Away    L *  -3.23  49  70    1 288 ( 16- 17) Tennessee Tech        -13.76     -7.24                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    L *   8.90  59  69    1 262 ( 21- 11) Morehead St            -1.63     -8.37                      
 18 01-12-2023 Home    L *  -4.22  62  80    1 241 ( 19- 14) SIUE                  -14.75     -3.25                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    W *  15.40  70  63    1 331 ( 10- 21) Ark Little Rock         4.87      2.13                      
 20 01-19-2023 Away    L *  13.63  74  78    1 290 ( 18- 14) Tennessee St            3.10     -7.10                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    L *   7.09  78  91    1 280 ( 19- 14) TN Martin              -3.44     -9.56                      
 22 01-26-2023 Away    L *  15.02  74  78    1 275 ( 16- 16) Southern Indiana        4.49     -8.49                      
 23 01-28-2023 Home    L *   2.65  68  79    1 255 ( 19- 16) SE Missouri St         -7.88     -3.12                      
 24 02-02-2023 Away    L *   0.58  67  80    1 339 ( 11- 21) Lindenwood             -9.96     -3.04                      
 25 02-04-2023 Home    L *   6.88  61  65    1 290 ( 18- 14) Tennessee St           -3.65     -0.35                      
 26 02-09-2023 Home    W *  15.34  77  75    1 280 ( 19- 14) TN Martin               4.81     -2.81                      
 27 02-11-2023 Away    W *  31.53  84  73    1 241 ( 19- 14) SIUE                   21.00    -10.00                      
 28 02-16-2023 Away    L *   6.40  64  78    1 255 ( 19- 16) SE Missouri St         -4.13     -9.87                      
 29 02-18-2023 Away    L *  11.15  77  81 1  1 331 ( 10- 21) Ark Little Rock         0.62     -4.62                      
 30 02-22-2023 Home    L *   6.15  63  69    1 262 ( 21- 11) Morehead St            -4.38     -1.62                      
 31 02-25-2023 Home    L *   2.02  66  75    1 288 ( 16- 17) Tennessee Tech         -8.51     -0.49                      
      Averages              10.53  68.8 72.1

Best game:   48.21 = 9 point win over Iowa
Worst game:  -5.45 = 20 point loss to N Illinois
Team stdev:  11.33